Longer term, Naivasha will be the ICD of choice for western Kenya imports/exports including tea. The location will decongest Nairobi ICD; lighten the traffic on the escarpment route; while also opening up commercialisation and industrialisation of Naivasha.
The 2013 infrastructure agreement also included a Uganda/Kenya joint venture crude oil pipeline running from Lake Albert oil basins through Turkana oilfields to the grassroots port at Lamu. However in 2015, Uganda opted for a Uganda/Tanzania joint-venture pipeline through Tanzania to the port of Tanga.
This left Kenya to develop their Lokichar/Lamu pipeline. Project planning and commitments for the two pipelines to Tanga and Lamu are quite advanced, with 2022 target completion dates for both.
The 2013 regional infrastructure plans also included a 60,000 barrels per day refinery in Western Uganda. Project investment plans for this refinery are quite advanced, with investors already lined up and institutional frameworks defined. What is in doubt is the shareholding participation by the regional neighbours including Kenya.
To export oil production from the Uganda refinery, the plans had anticipated that a products pipeline would be constructed from Kampala to Kigali. Also in the plan was a reverse-flow pipeline between Eldoret and Kampala with flexibility to export oil from Uganda to western Kenya.
However, not much appears to have been committed in respect of these product pipelines between Uganda and its neighbours. In fact Kenya is still hoping to use its new jetty at Kisumu to transship products to Uganda – a feasibility inconsistency considering the ongoing plans for the Uganda refinery. .
One thing we have learned over the last six years is that regional political friendships and quarrels can shape, progress, or derail regional development. For the region, this is not good. Changing friendships and quarrels cannot be reliably used as long term regional planning tools.
Source: Business Daily