The shilling continues to free fall against the US dollar. Clearly, the recent steps taken by the Central Bank of Kenya (CBK) to curtail liquidity in the system to curb speculation in the market and to raise the cost of money seem not to have yielded the desired results. The fall also proves that the currency is not under pressure because of excess speculation but because of external factors such as a strong dollar and because of fundamental weaknesses of the economy. The only lasting solution for the shilling’s problems is to reduce the current account deficit (CAD) to a sustainable level. To do this, we need structural solutions from the government, not the CBK. We need the government to come up with out-of-the-box-thinking’ solutions rather than leave everything to the apex bank. The CBK has very little policy space or instruments; all it can do in the interim is to stabilise the market volatility and that will come at a cost; high lending rates and low economic growth. It is time we came up with strategies that will help curb forex outflow against a backdrop of a weak currency. The depreciation of the shilling against the US dollar by more than 10 per cent this year has added to Kenya’s economic woes and could push its CAD to unprecedented levels. The government can help contain CAD by embarking on a shilling-centric approach to oil imports. This envisages bringing down the CAD by cutting down on dollar-denominated oil imports, which...
Barter trade idea that can save shilling
Posted on: August 21, 2015
Posted on: August 21, 2015