Trading within the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) is set to begin on 1st July 2020, just over two months from now. So far, only 29 member states out of 55 have ratified the agreement. More countries need to ratify it if the projected boost of 52 per cent in intra-African trade should be attained by 2022. However, Covid-19 could slow things down a bit. While the full effects of the virus remain to be seen, a gloomy economic picture is emerging that AfCFTA will have to contend. There is a unity of expert opinion that the continent is about to go into recession because of the virus. The question is by exactly how much. One could start with the recent African Development Bank (AfDB) analysis entitled "Impact of the coronavirus on the Africa economy". Before the onset of the pandemic, AfDB had projected the continent-wide gross domestic product (GDP) growth to reach 3.4 per cent this year. The GDP will now shrink in the negative to between -0.8 and -1.1 per cent in 2020. In sub-Saharan Africa, estimates by the World Bank are bleaker with a predicted economic contraction of between -2.1 and -5.1 per cent for 2020. The International Monetary Fund forecasts a dip of -1.6 per cent in the region south of the Sahara. Though a country like Rwanda will fare relatively better with a projected growth of 5.8 per cent, the average negative growth in the continent suggests the trading in AfCFTA will not start...

This was expressed by the Mbeya Regional Commissioner Albert Chalamila during his inspection visit of the project financed by the World Bank and constructed by CGC Contractors from China at a cost of 26.4bn/-. RC Chalamila cited political and social stability in the two neighbouring nations as an essential lever in developing economic activities of the people of the two countries. He said political stabilities in the two countries arose from strong planning by leaders thereof in improving other essential services including the construction of the one stop border post. "Our aim is to ensure this border post develops the economies of both nations especially on issues of taxation and immigration by increasing their revenues but also to improve the lives of people through trade,” he said. Tanzania Roads Agency (TANROADS) representative from the Region Eng John Mahenge said the project is being implemented by the government through the agency. He said up to now the construction is 23 percent complete but was supposed to have reach 50 percent due to weather challenges. Grace Miyombe and Fred Samson from Tanzania and Malawi respectively said the project is good since it will improve their working environment especially to the small traders near the area.  

Institutional capacity in public healthcare systems, law enforcement and regulatory agencies, as well as the capacity of the state to commandeer production of essential goods and services, have become decisive interventions in this pandemic. British Prime Minister Boris Johnson, whose conservative government had for years underfunded the public sector, confirmed this unequivocally when he thanked the National Health Service (NHS) for saving his life after he was hospitalised with the virus. We have President Cyril Ramaphosa to thank for his leadership in mobilising national, continental and global public and private resources to enhance our capacity to tackle this pandemic. The admirable collaboration between public and private healthcare institutions has laid an important foundation for a well-resourced and -run National Health Insurance (NHI) system. We can learn from Britain’s NHS about what works and what doesn’t, so we can build our NHI on a firmer footing. Post-pandemic socio-economic restructuring There is no wisdom in hankering after the old socio-economic development models that brought us to the multi-layered global crises (climate, health and socio-economic) we face today. Post-pandemic socio-economic restructuring has to go beyond traditional notions of privatising state-owned enterprises and a smaller government. The entire global socio-economic system we have relied on has been exposed as fragile and a threat to both rich and poor in our society. No economy can prosper while excluding the energies and talents of the majority of its youthful population — as we have done since 1994. We need to transform our economic and social relationships...

The domino effect of the coronavirus pandemic will plunge many economies into recession and means the African Continental Free Trade Agreement (AfCFTA) is now needed more than ever to ensure that member states are trading with each other and supporting one another at this time, according to Banji Fehintola, senior director and head of treasury at the Africa Finance Corporation (AFC). He says South Africa has a very important part to play. It is the most industrialised and diversified economy on the continent and is one of the only financial markets that is sound enough to be tapped for infrastructure projects. “Trade finance and infrastructure finance are incredibly important in the creation of growth across Africa. However, since the global financial crisis of 2008/2009, some global banks have retreated from emerging markets, including Africa. These means credit capacity from global banks for African Financial Institutions (FI) has reduced considerably, constraining their ability to serve clients’ needs,” he tells Fin24. No amount of policy change or cuts in taxes will truly make Africa competitive when the physical hinderances are ignored, according to Fehintola. He says the AfCFTA is not just a dream, but there is a long way still go before it becomes a tangible reality. The next phase comprises a new set of challenges as the ratifying countries commence implementing the AfCFTA with the goal of truly unlocking Africa’s potential through the free movement of goods, services and people. He points out that the elimination of tariff and nontariff barriers...

The Coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19) has become a fully-fledged global economic crisis with governments now issuing Level 4 – Do Not Travel advisories, instituting curfews, partial and full lockdowns. These lockdowns that started from Wuhan, China - the epicentre of coronavirus outbreak - are fast turning in to the safest way of life with Italy, Spain, India, South Africa, Uganda, Kenya, and Rwanda among countries administering shutdown doses. The lockdowns mean that factories and private companies cease most economic activities. Therefore, disposal incomes for both people and companies is reduced in sectors of the economy including the health, manufacturing, retail, trade, transport, tourism, entertainment, education and many others. Conservative estimates indicate that the global economic aftermath of COVID-19 pandemic could last at a minimum of one year. The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) estimates annual global GDP growth is expected to drop to 2.4% in 2020, from an already weak 2.9% in 2019. World exports are forecast to decline by more than 5% to US$1.28 trillion in 2020. Further, the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) reports that the number of container cargo ships from China, reduced by 30 percent, in January 2020 alone from 540 ships to 370 ships per day. A March 10, 2020 Baker-McKenzie report highlights that many African countries face a “twin supply-demand shock,” due to a decrease in imports of manufacturing inputs and supplies from China and reduced demand from exports in key sectors in various export markets. Reports from the Uganda...

Africa is lagging behind in the lucrative global digital economy, worth around $12tn globally. With the African  Continental Free Trade Agreement in force, it is time to launch a continent-wide digital revolution to keep pace with the rest of the world. By Thierry Zomahoun On 30 May 2019, the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) officially came into force. Like most African leaders and a large proportion of informed observers, I remain convinced that the AfCFTA is an opportunity for the development and integration of our continent. A free trade area that includes nearly a billion consumers will surely prove to be a powerful driver of economic growth in the sectors that can ensure our continent emerges. One of these is the digital economy. Africa is still lagging behind in this area. You might even think that Africa has resigned itself to sitting out this competition that is already shaping tomorrow’s world. There is a digital re-colonisation looming over our continent. Perhaps you have heard about what we call ‘unicorns’. These are online micro-enterprises that started from nothing and built a stellar empire within a few years. Take note – of the 575 known unicorns across the world, only three of them came out of Africa. This African lag can be explained by a number of factors, one of which is an inadequate infrastructure, not to mention the shortage of requisite skills. These are real challenges holding back the growth of innovation and the emergence of industries linked to new technologies. Such barriers...

Residents of Budalang'i in Busia County have started feeling the effects of a  government order to close the border to human traffic. Locals said they depend heavily on food brought in from Uganda, thus the travel restrictions could result in some families sleeping hungry.“If the government is ready to distribute relief food, that will be good for us in Budalang’i," said Rael Akumu, a cereals trader who was unable to replenish her stock with grains from across the neighbouring country. Following the order to close the border to human traffic from Port Victoria in Budalang’i to Malaba, only heavy commercial vehicles are being allowed across. On Tuesday, police chased away traders who operate in Kenya's Sofia area, which borders the country's no-man's land with Uganda.Jane Atieno said she has been crossing the border for the last seven years to buy fruits, onions, tomatoes and vegetables in Sofia, Uganda. "Our bread basket is Uganda. We source foodstuff from there and since the closure of the border, it has been hard for us to cross," she said.Kenya National Chamber of Commerce and Industries Busia vice chairman Sylvanus Abungu warned that the directive will have far-reaching negative economic effects. Mr Abungu said Kenya imports millet, maize, cassava, sweet potatoes, fish, milk, eggs and sugar from Uganda.Other commodities include sugarcane, charcoal, timber and cereals, which are later transported across the country."Informal cross-border trade is the worst hit. Busia is the gateway to markets outside the region and it is already affected. If the government...

With border closures announced to contain the spread of the corona virus pandemic, the road transport sector has been hardest hit. The road transport accounts for over 60 percent of goods movement from ports of entry to the region. Besides shutting of the borders, more checks have been introduced to minimize exposure and curtail export of the virus. Logistics experts have predicted business could reduce by more than half going forward, with players calling for measures to minimize disruption and provide a critical service. Kagure Wamunyu, Africa region chief executive officer at Kobo 360, said logistics business will drop by 50 percent since borders trucks are spending up to two days before they cross the border due to the stringent checks. Kobo, a freight logistics firm, connects and supports cargo owners, truckers, drivers and importers. “The logistics sector has been disrupted by the pandemic and will suffer the sharpest blow. Developing a supply chain response to the coronavirus outbreak is extremely challenging, given the scale of the crisis and the rate at which it is evolving,” Ms Wamunyu told Shipping & Logistics in a phone interview. She said since road transport plays a crucial role in linking industries with the ports where raw materials are delivered, there is need for quick solutions to the current challenges. Kenya’s borders with Uganda and Tanzania have been shut, with minimal truck movement. This has led to delays in delivery of goods within the region. Mombasa is the gateway to East African countries of...

The implementation of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) in Eastern Africa could result in welfare gains amounting to USD 1.8 billion for East Africa, boosting intra-African exports by more than USD 1.1 billion and creating more than 2 million new jobs, says a new report. This report, entitled: “Creating a Unified Regional Market - Towards the Implementation of The African Continental Free Trade Area in East Africa” jointly published by the UN Economic Commission for Africa (ECA) and Trademark East Africa, was launched in Nairobi, Kenya. Betty Maina, Kenya’s minister for trade and industrialisation, explained that her country pursues growth in trade by identifying different markets to its products. She stressed that to maximise benefits from the AfCFTA, greater attention must be geared towards supply chains in agricultural commodities and processed food products to scale it up to the continental level. “We need to up our game and I am glad that large numbers of young people enter the food processing industry, which provides a lot of jobs for our youth”, she said. Stephen Karingi, Director Regional Integration and Trade Division at the ECA, who also attended the event, said that by 2040 the AfCFTA has the potential to increase the value of agricultural and food exports on the continent by US$16.8 billion. Karingi noted that according to recent estimates by ECA, the largest percentage increases - that is over 25 per cent in intra-African exports for industrial sectors - are found in textile, wearing apparel, leather, wood...

ADDIS ABABA, March 9 (Xinhua) -- Effective implementation of the African Continental Free Trade Area Agreement (AfCFTA) could result in welfare gains amounting to 1.8 billion U.S. dollars for East African economies, while boosting intra-African exports by more than 1.1 billion U.S. dollars and creating more than 2 million new jobs, according to a new United Nations report. The newly published report, entitled "Creating a Unified Regional Market, Towards the Implementation of AfCFTA in East Africa" and jointly published by the UN Economic Commission for Africa (ECA) and Trademark East Africa over the weekend, provided a first comprehensive assessment of the potential impact of the continental free trade deal on the East African economies. The report, which discusses the measures and supportive instruments that will be needed towards the success of the AfCFTA, mainly analyzed existing patterns of intra-regional trade and investment as well as the opportunities created by access to more open domestic and regional markets under the free trade pact. According to the report, the elimination of tariffs and non-tariff barriers required by the AfCFTA "will boost intra-African trade and improve developmental prospects for East Africa, allowing regional firms to tap into the rapidly growing markets both within the region and throughout Africa." It, however, stressed that many of the expected gains could be undermined if the needs and concerns of the private sector are not heard in order to gain an understanding of the impact on the affected sectors. The report also noted that establishing regular platforms...