“Uganda’s trade deficit is set to worsen. Exports could decline by about 65 percent in the remaining part of FY 2019/20 while imports could fall by 45 percent.” The COVID-19 pandemic is likely to worsen Uganda’s external position, through its adverse effects on the flow of international trade, tourism, workers’ remittances, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and loan disbursements, Bank of Uganda’s Monetary Policy Report for April 2020 has revealed. According to the report, Uganda currently sources about 40 percent of its import requirements from Asia, with china supplying about 15 percent of Uganda’s total imports. “A decline in imports could imply a shortage of supply of consumer goods and inputs, which could lead to an increase in prices; closure of small businesses that largely depend on Chinese imports; a decline in government revenue, which could hurt the already low government revenue; and an increase in the financing gap given that several public projects are funded by the Chinese government,” the report reads in part. It adds: “In the remaining part of FY 2019/20, imports could decline by about 45 percent, although there are now indications that China is now slowly starting to reopen. This will have profound implications, not only for domestic consumers and government, but also for the manufacturing sector that heavily relies on imported inputs from china.” The report further reveals that exports are also likely to be affected as global economic growth slackens. Uganda’s main export destinations are COMESA, with about 42 percent; Middle East, with about...