The International Monetary Fund and Fitch Ratings concur on Rwanda’s positive economic outlook. While each country is unique in its circumstance, this reflects on the wider EAC, specifically Uganda, Tanzania and Kenya, which are as favourably projected. The just-released IMF Regional Economic Outlook for Sub-Saharan Africa reports that the four EAC members states are expected to sustain annual growth rates of five per cent or higher. Rwanda, for instance, is expected to grow by 6.2 per cent in 2017 as vouched at the IMF second review of country’s Policy Support Instrument in Kigali this week. The percentage growth coincides with Fitch forecasts for this year, onward to 6.6 per cent in 2018 (See “Fitch confirms Rwanda’s economic outlook as stable”, The New Times, May 15, 2017). If the projection holds, this will mean more than a slight improvement from the 5.9 per cent growth registered last year. It is the same with the other three member states. According to the IMF report, their economies’ comparative strength is due in large measure to public spending and investments in infrastructure. Generally, however, one wishes the positive outlook rubs on Burundi, which remains in economic doldrums, as much as South Sudan which continues to be wracked by conflict. But a wish is only a wish, and more a measure of intent than effective action. What is certain is that the two countries must weigh their options with the better able section of the EAC playing its role to offer the support it must,...
EAC should take positive economic growth with cautious optimism
Posted on: May 18, 2017
Posted on: May 18, 2017